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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+6.97vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+4.07vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+6.49vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+2.90vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.07+5.33vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73+3.74vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.65vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.92+0.73vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.90-0.44vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.64-3.23vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-0.60vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.10-3.48vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.07vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.83-0.51vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.04-6.34vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University-1.38-5.01vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-5.74vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.37-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Boston College2.567.3%1st Place
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6.07Yale University2.7112.6%1st Place
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9.49College of Charleston1.815.1%1st Place
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6.9Cornell University2.389.5%1st Place
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10.33Bowdoin College2.073.6%1st Place
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9.74Tulane University1.734.5%1st Place
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9.65University of Pennsylvania1.774.3%1st Place
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8.73Brown University1.925.7%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University1.906.8%1st Place
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6.77Stanford University2.649.2%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.683.9%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College2.106.5%1st Place
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11.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.602.9%1st Place
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13.49Tufts University0.832.1%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Naval Academy2.045.9%1st Place
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10.99Jacksonville University-1.383.5%1st Place
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11.26St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.4%1st Place
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11.52Georgetown University1.373.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Bridget Green | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Hannah Freeman | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Sarah Young | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Emma Snead | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.1% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 25.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Emily Allen | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.