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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+2.84vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.08+0.98vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.36-1.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.22-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.72-0.84vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.32+0.05vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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2.98Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
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3.82University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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2.56University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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4.39University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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5.16University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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7.05California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keely Scates | 13.1% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Eliza Richartz | 22.5% | 21.8% | 21.3% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 14.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 30.4% | 25.2% | 19.3% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Hobson | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 11.8% | 3.0% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 20.9% | 8.9% |
| Janet Rumsey | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 17.9% | 60.8% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 17.7% | 32.6% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.