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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.72+2.50vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.15+2.26vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.42+0.61vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.97+0.45vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University-0.66+0.84vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.37-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-2.52vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.02-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Bates College0.7219.7%1st Place
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4.26Maine Maritime Academy0.1513.3%1st Place
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3.61Fairfield University0.4218.8%1st Place
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4.45Salve Regina University0.9711.8%1st Place
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5.84Brandeis University-0.666.2%1st Place
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5.34Middlebury College-0.377.0%1st Place
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4.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0211.2%1st Place
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4.52University of Vermont-0.0211.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Lindelof | 19.7% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 18.8% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 9.2% |
| Myles Hazen | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 35.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 21.2% |
| William Delong | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 9.7% |
| William Denker | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.