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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+5.29vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+5.99vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+5.64vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+7.02vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+2.14vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.69vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.37+4.69vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.95vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.64-2.27vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.73-0.20vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.77-1.43vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-1.60vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.07-2.78vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.10-5.46vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University-1.38-4.02vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.83-2.77vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.92-8.28vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.81-8.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Yale University2.7111.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston College2.567.5%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University1.906.6%1st Place
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11.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.5%1st Place
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7.14Cornell University2.387.5%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Naval Academy2.046.4%1st Place
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11.69Georgetown University1.372.9%1st Place
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11.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.602.9%1st Place
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6.73Stanford University2.649.4%1st Place
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9.8Tulane University1.734.2%1st Place
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9.57University of Pennsylvania1.775.7%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.3%1st Place
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10.22Bowdoin College2.074.3%1st Place
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8.54Dartmouth College2.105.7%1st Place
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10.98Jacksonville University-1.383.7%1st Place
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13.23Tufts University0.832.5%1st Place
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8.72Brown University1.926.6%1st Place
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9.38College of Charleston1.815.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
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Mia Nicolosi | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Colleen O'Brien | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
Sarah Burn | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
Katherine Bennett | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
Bridget Green | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Eva Blauvelt | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
Riley Kloc | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% |
Emma Snead | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% |
Hannah Freeman | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Caroline Benson | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
Sofia Segalla | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
Kaila Pfrang | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% |
Sarah Young | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
Emily Allen | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% |
Alexandra Talbot | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 25.0% |
Caroline Bayless | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
Emma Tallman | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.