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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+5.03vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+4.36vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.77+5.58vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.07+5.26vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.87vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+3.51vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.71-1.49vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73+0.71vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.10-1.12vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.56-2.88vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.37-0.55vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-1.76vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.04-5.18vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.66-0.73vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.80-4.14vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.81-7.77vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.83-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Stanford University2.649.9%1st Place
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6.36Cornell University2.3810.6%1st Place
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8.58University of Pennsylvania1.775.5%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College2.074.5%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.602.9%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.8%1st Place
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5.51Yale University2.7113.8%1st Place
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8.71Tulane University1.736.2%1st Place
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7.88Dartmouth College2.106.8%1st Place
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7.12Boston College2.568.5%1st Place
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10.45Georgetown University1.373.5%1st Place
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10.24St. Mary's College of Maryland1.354.0%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Naval Academy2.047.1%1st Place
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13.27Jacksonville University0.661.4%1st Place
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10.86Brown University1.802.6%1st Place
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8.23College of Charleston1.815.7%1st Place
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12.3Tufts University0.832.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Emma Snead | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Young | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 31.6% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.