← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.29+6.96vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.32+7.97vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+6.45vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.31+7.80vs Predicted
-
52.13+3.34vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.20+0.14vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University1.97+0.96vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University2.61-3.26vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan1.57+0.64vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College1.87-2.03vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island0.71+1.25vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University0.90-0.10vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.08-4.29vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston1.45-5.00vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.10-4.28vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College0.65-3.60vs Predicted
-
17University of Hawaii0.99-6.04vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island0.88-6.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.96Brown University2.297.8%1st Place
-
9.97George Washington University1.323.7%1st Place
-
9.45St. Mary's College of Maryland1.355.1%1st Place
-
11.8University of Vermont1.313.4%1st Place
-
8.342.136.4%1st Place
-
6.14Georgetown University2.2010.7%1st Place
-
7.96Jacksonville University1.976.2%1st Place
-
4.74Stanford University2.6116.3%1st Place
-
9.64University of Michigan1.574.7%1st Place
-
7.97Dartmouth College1.876.6%1st Place
-
12.25University of Rhode Island0.712.7%1st Place
-
11.9Fordham University0.902.8%1st Place
-
8.71Harvard University2.086.0%1st Place
-
9.0College of Charleston1.455.2%1st Place
-
10.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.104.0%1st Place
-
12.4Connecticut College0.652.0%1st Place
-
10.96University of Hawaii0.993.9%1st Place
-
11.08University of Rhode Island0.882.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Grace Gear | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% |
| Dana Haig | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 16.3% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 14.9% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Grace Squires | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Camille McGriff | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 16.9% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.