← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Tufts University3.04+0.70vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.47-0.90vs Predicted
-
4Bentley University1.82+0.94vs Predicted
-
5Maine Maritime Academy1.55+0.54vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-0.45vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University1.45-1.37vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University0.96-1.52vs Predicted
-
9University of New Hampshire0.76-2.01vs Predicted
-
10University of Connecticut-0.34-0.83vs Predicted
-
11McGill University0.05-2.57vs Predicted
-
12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.7Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
-
2.1Tufts University3.470.4%1st Place
-
4.94Bentley University1.820.1%1st Place
-
5.54Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
-
5.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.1%1st Place
-
5.63Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
-
6.48Northeastern University0.960.0%1st Place
-
6.99University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
-
9.17University of Connecticut-0.340.0%1st Place
-
8.43McGill University0.050.0%1st Place
-
8.46University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Gowrie | 24.3% | 28.8% | 20.2% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 42.0% | 26.9% | 16.9% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vickerson | 7.4% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Lindsay Wright | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 6.6% |
| Liam Greene | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 40.7% |
| Holly McGarr | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 23.1% | 21.8% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 20.8% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.