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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+6.76vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.08+6.68vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.97+4.78vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.31+7.38vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.87+2.92vs Predicted
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62.13+2.60vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.32+2.87vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.45+1.06vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-2.69vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.99+1.06vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.57-2.24vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.90-0.88vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.10-3.23vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.61-10.22vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.65-3.49vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.88-5.98vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.71-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Brown University2.297.4%1st Place
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8.68Harvard University2.085.5%1st Place
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7.78Jacksonville University1.977.8%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont1.312.7%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College1.877.4%1st Place
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8.62.135.5%1st Place
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9.87George Washington University1.324.1%1st Place
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9.06College of Charleston1.455.2%1st Place
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6.31Georgetown University2.2010.7%1st Place
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11.06University of Hawaii0.993.5%1st Place
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9.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.356.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Michigan1.574.5%1st Place
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12.12Fordham University0.902.6%1st Place
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10.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.103.2%1st Place
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4.78Stanford University2.6116.6%1st Place
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12.51Connecticut College0.651.8%1st Place
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11.02University of Rhode Island0.882.9%1st Place
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12.28University of Rhode Island0.712.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte Rose | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Grace Gear | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Dana Haig | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Grace Squires | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 15.4% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 16.6% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 16.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.