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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University1.82+3.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+0.69vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University1.45+2.70vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.76+3.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47-3.84vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.96-0.30vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-2.62vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy1.55-3.72vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.40vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.34-1.93vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.05-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Bentley University1.820.1%1st Place
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2.69Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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5.7Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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7.21University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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2.16Tufts University3.470.4%1st Place
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6.7Northeastern University0.960.0%1st Place
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5.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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5.28Maine Maritime Academy1.550.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Connecticut-0.340.0%1st Place
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8.34McGill University0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Vickerson | 6.0% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Casey Gowrie | 25.6% | 27.4% | 21.2% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 7.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 41.4% | 28.2% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Wright | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 5.7% |
| Kyle Brego | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 23.7% | 24.8% |
| Liam Greene | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 39.0% |
| Holly McGarr | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.