← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.61+3.68vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.08+6.74vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.97+5.06vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College1.87+3.92vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston1.45+4.01vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University0.90+5.93vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+2.45vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.20-1.55vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College0.65+3.23vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan1.57-0.18vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii0.99+0.02vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.29-4.24vs Predicted
-
132.13-4.66vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.31-2.37vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University1.32-4.98vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.10-5.34vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island0.88-6.16vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island0.71-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.68Stanford University2.6117.2%1st Place
-
8.74Harvard University2.086.0%1st Place
-
8.06Jacksonville University1.976.7%1st Place
-
7.92Dartmouth College1.877.0%1st Place
-
9.01College of Charleston1.455.7%1st Place
-
11.93Fordham University0.902.2%1st Place
-
9.45St. Mary's College of Maryland1.354.9%1st Place
-
6.45Georgetown University2.209.3%1st Place
-
12.23Connecticut College0.652.0%1st Place
-
9.82University of Michigan1.573.9%1st Place
-
11.02University of Hawaii0.993.4%1st Place
-
7.76Brown University2.297.8%1st Place
-
8.342.137.1%1st Place
-
11.63University of Vermont1.313.0%1st Place
-
10.02George Washington University1.324.0%1st Place
-
10.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.103.3%1st Place
-
10.84University of Rhode Island0.883.6%1st Place
-
12.44University of Rhode Island0.712.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 17.2% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Grace Squires | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 16.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Dana Haig | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Grace Gear | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.