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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.96+5.78vs Predicted
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2Bentley University1.82+2.82vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04-0.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47-2.82vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-0.44vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy1.55-1.59vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University1.45-2.57vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.76-1.98vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.34-0.83vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.05-2.58vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Northeastern University0.960.0%1st Place
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4.82Bentley University1.820.1%1st Place
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2.74Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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2.18Tufts University3.470.4%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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5.41Maine Maritime Academy1.550.1%1st Place
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5.43Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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7.02University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Connecticut-0.340.0%1st Place
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8.42McGill University0.050.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Wright | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Colby Vickerson | 8.5% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Casey Gowrie | 24.6% | 27.9% | 20.3% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 38.6% | 29.4% | 17.1% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 7.1% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 6.7% |
| Liam Greene | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 40.7% |
| Holly McGarr | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 23.4% | 21.9% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 22.0% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.