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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.70+6.70vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+4.22vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.25+6.59vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.21+4.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+2.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.16+2.52vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.72+2.10vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.42-3.16vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14+1.40vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.48+0.24vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.62vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.44-2.00vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.26-2.58vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.09-3.45vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.32+0.43vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.77-3.72vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.18-7.04vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.25-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Cornell University1.707.2%1st Place
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6.22Boston College2.5611.1%1st Place
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9.59Roger Williams University1.254.7%1st Place
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8.42Tulane University2.216.0%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.039.9%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Naval Academy2.165.3%1st Place
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9.1University of Pennsylvania1.724.4%1st Place
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4.84Yale University2.4215.7%1st Place
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10.4Boston University1.144.0%1st Place
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10.24Bowdoin College1.483.9%1st Place
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9.38University of California at Los Angeles1.304.1%1st Place
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10.0Old Dominion University1.444.5%1st Place
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10.42North Carolina State University1.264.0%1st Place
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10.55University of South Florida1.093.5%1st Place
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15.43SUNY Maritime College-0.321.1%1st Place
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12.28Northwestern University0.772.5%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University1.184.2%1st Place
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10.95Tufts University1.253.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 15.7% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Marianna Shand | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 51.1% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 11.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.