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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.10+9.49vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.97+5.97vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.31+8.40vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.45+5.20vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+2.95vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.65+6.57vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87+0.91vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20-1.79vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.08-0.13vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.71+2.25vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.57-1.23vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.90-0.09vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-3.57vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.99-2.85vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.32-5.09vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.61-11.33vs Predicted
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172.13-8.72vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.88-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.104.9%1st Place
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7.97Jacksonville University1.976.6%1st Place
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11.4University of Vermont1.312.9%1st Place
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9.2College of Charleston1.455.8%1st Place
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7.95Brown University2.296.2%1st Place
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12.57Connecticut College0.652.1%1st Place
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7.91Dartmouth College1.876.9%1st Place
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6.21Georgetown University2.2010.0%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University2.085.9%1st Place
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12.25University of Rhode Island0.712.5%1st Place
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9.77University of Michigan1.574.2%1st Place
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11.91Fordham University0.902.6%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland1.355.2%1st Place
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11.15University of Hawaii0.993.5%1st Place
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9.91George Washington University1.323.6%1st Place
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4.67Stanford University2.6117.5%1st Place
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8.282.136.9%1st Place
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11.07University of Rhode Island0.883.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille McGriff | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Grace Gear | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% |
| Grace Squires | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 15.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 17.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 17.5% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.