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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University1.82+3.89vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy1.55+2.33vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University1.45+1.70vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.76+2.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47-3.83vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.04-4.31vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-2.65vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.96-2.44vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.38vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.34-1.91vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.05-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Bentley University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.33Maine Maritime Academy1.550.1%1st Place
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5.7Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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7.26University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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2.17Tufts University3.470.4%1st Place
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2.69Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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5.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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6.56Northeastern University0.960.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Connecticut-0.340.0%1st Place
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8.34McGill University0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Vickerson | 5.9% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 5.5% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 7.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 41.0% | 28.4% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gowrie | 25.4% | 29.3% | 19.2% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Lindsay Wright | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 23.7% | 25.4% |
| Liam Greene | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 39.4% |
| Holly McGarr | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.