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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University1.82+3.86vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04-0.30vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.96+2.83vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.55+0.52vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University1.45-0.49vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.76+0.10vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47-5.94vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-3.59vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.40vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.05-2.60vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.34-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Bentley University1.820.1%1st Place
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2.7Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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6.83Northeastern University0.960.0%1st Place
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5.52Maine Maritime Academy1.550.1%1st Place
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5.51Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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7.1University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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2.06Tufts University3.470.4%1st Place
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5.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.4McGill University0.050.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Connecticut-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Vickerson | 7.1% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Casey Gowrie | 25.8% | 26.2% | 21.9% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Wright | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 4.7% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 7.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 42.0% | 30.4% | 14.8% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 27.1% |
| Holly McGarr | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 21.2% | 22.5% |
| Liam Greene | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 22.0% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.