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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.72+4.14vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.36+0.58vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.57-0.22vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.08-2.00vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.22-1.66vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.32+0.06vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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2.58University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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3.0Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
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4.34University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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7.06California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Bozina | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 21.4% | 8.1% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 30.6% | 25.2% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Keely Scates | 13.1% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 13.4% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 0.9% |
| Eliza Richartz | 23.3% | 21.6% | 19.9% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Ashley Hobson | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 11.5% | 3.4% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 17.8% | 60.4% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 32.3% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.