← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bates College0.72+2.45vs Predicted
-
2Fairfield University0.42+1.57vs Predicted
-
3Maine Maritime Academy0.15+1.29vs Predicted
-
4Brandeis University-0.66+1.90vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College-0.37+0.31vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.97-1.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-2.51vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont-0.02-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.45Bates College0.7219.8%1st Place
-
3.57Fairfield University0.4218.6%1st Place
-
4.29Maine Maritime Academy0.1513.9%1st Place
-
5.9Brandeis University-0.665.7%1st Place
-
5.31Middlebury College-0.377.2%1st Place
-
4.46Salve Regina University0.9711.8%1st Place
-
4.49University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0211.8%1st Place
-
4.53University of Vermont-0.0211.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Lindelof | 19.8% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 18.6% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 13.9% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 7.6% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 34.6% |
| Penelope Weekes | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 22.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 9.8% |
| William Delong | 11.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 10.1% |
| William Denker | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.