Race 7A

commonwealth-invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Colby Vickerson 10.0% 11.2% 12.9% 13.4% 12.6% 13.3% 11.3% 8.7% 4.9% 1.1% 0.6%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 7.5% 8.8% 9.4% 9.6% 12.2% 11.4% 12.2% 13.2% 10.1% 4.7% 0.9%
Viktor Wettergren 17.2% 16.1% 17.1% 14.8% 11.1% 9.8% 6.7% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Kyle Brego 7.8% 8.2% 7.7% 10.5% 11.2% 12.3% 13.6% 12.5% 10.5% 4.6% 1.1%
Rinchen Harrison 9.9% 10.1% 10.0% 10.1% 12.0% 10.7% 12.0% 11.4% 8.9% 3.7% 1.2%
Lindsay Wright 4.6% 5.3% 6.5% 6.5% 9.3% 10.0% 12.3% 15.1% 14.0% 12.1% 4.3%
Kate Shaner 22.1% 19.8% 14.8% 14.1% 10.2% 8.9% 5.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Holly McGarr 2.3% 1.9% 2.7% 2.5% 4.6% 4.7% 7.0% 11.6% 18.1% 24.1% 20.5%
Alison Deyett 1.4% 1.2% 2.0% 1.1% 2.6% 2.1% 4.3% 5.5% 10.5% 21.6% 47.7%
Kelsey Martins 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 3.5% 3.4% 5.1% 6.3% 9.6% 16.5% 25.4% 23.2%
Michael Rottier 15.2% 15.4% 13.9% 13.9% 10.8% 11.7% 9.0% 5.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.