Race 8A

commonwealth-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Colby Vickerson 9.5% 12.4% 12.1% 13.2% 12.5% 12.1% 12.8% 8.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.3%
Viktor Wettergren 18.7% 18.8% 14.4% 14.3% 11.2% 10.4% 6.9% 3.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Rinchen Harrison 8.4% 8.3% 10.9% 9.2% 11.8% 12.7% 13.1% 11.4% 9.5% 4.1% 0.6%
Michael Rottier 13.0% 12.2% 13.6% 12.7% 14.3% 10.6% 9.8% 8.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Lindsay Wright 5.2% 5.9% 6.3% 7.1% 8.3% 9.8% 10.3% 15.3% 14.8% 12.2% 4.8%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 7.9% 8.2% 9.3% 11.8% 10.2% 12.6% 13.2% 10.8% 8.7% 5.9% 1.4%
Kyle Brego 9.4% 9.7% 10.4% 10.2% 10.1% 13.0% 12.2% 11.1% 8.1% 4.3% 1.5%
Holly McGarr 2.6% 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 4.7% 5.8% 6.9% 10.7% 18.2% 24.0% 20.4%
Alison Deyett 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 2.7% 2.9% 5.5% 11.9% 20.7% 47.8%
Kelsey Martins 1.8% 2.2% 2.4% 2.8% 4.4% 4.1% 6.2% 11.2% 17.6% 24.5% 22.8%
Kate Shaner 22.4% 19.0% 15.9% 14.4% 10.7% 6.2% 5.7% 3.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.