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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+7.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+2.84vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+3.13vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.72+4.75vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.16+3.66vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.70+1.44vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.14+3.47vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.77+4.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.94vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.48+0.05vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.44-1.26vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.83-0.39vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.09-2.59vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.26-3.68vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.32+0.36vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.30-6.56vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.18-6.82vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.25-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Tulane University2.216.3%1st Place
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4.84Yale University2.4216.7%1st Place
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6.13Boston College2.5611.6%1st Place
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8.75University of Pennsylvania1.725.9%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Naval Academy2.164.9%1st Place
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7.44Cornell University1.708.2%1st Place
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10.47Boston University1.143.9%1st Place
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12.22Northwestern University0.772.2%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.2%1st Place
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10.05Bowdoin College1.484.3%1st Place
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9.74Old Dominion University1.444.3%1st Place
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11.61Tufts University0.832.6%1st Place
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10.41University of South Florida1.094.0%1st Place
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10.32North Carolina State University1.264.5%1st Place
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15.36SUNY Maritime College-0.320.8%1st Place
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9.44University of California at Los Angeles1.304.2%1st Place
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10.18Northeastern University1.183.6%1st Place
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9.69Roger Williams University1.254.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 16.7% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 11.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 7.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 49.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.