Race 9A

commonwealth-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Viktor Wettergren 16.7% 15.8% 16.6% 14.1% 12.7% 10.5% 6.7% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Holly McGarr 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 2.8% 3.0% 4.6% 7.4% 8.3% 18.3% 25.5% 23.7%
Colby Vickerson 10.5% 10.8% 10.2% 12.1% 13.1% 11.3% 12.3% 10.4% 5.8% 3.0% 0.5%
Evan Gregory 8.0% 8.9% 9.9% 9.5% 11.0% 12.9% 13.3% 11.9% 8.5% 5.5% 0.6%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 9.2% 9.4% 7.1% 9.5% 10.3% 10.9% 11.7% 14.3% 11.2% 5.4% 1.0%
Michael Rottier 13.6% 12.9% 14.1% 11.5% 12.4% 11.2% 8.2% 7.7% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5%
Rinchen Harrison 9.7% 10.2% 10.2% 11.6% 10.4% 12.6% 10.5% 11.5% 8.3% 3.9% 1.1%
Kate Shaner 20.3% 17.8% 17.1% 13.2% 9.9% 8.6% 6.6% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Kyle Brego 7.3% 9.0% 8.1% 10.9% 11.1% 9.8% 13.7% 11.4% 11.3% 5.6% 1.8%
Kelsey Martins 1.8% 1.9% 2.7% 3.1% 4.1% 4.2% 6.0% 9.7% 15.8% 25.6% 25.1%
Alison Deyett 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 2.0% 3.4% 3.6% 6.0% 11.3% 22.6% 45.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.