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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.97+6.71vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.65+10.23vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.87+4.84vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.45+4.88vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.32+4.87vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20-0.02vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+2.32vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.61-3.37vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.90+2.78vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.57-0.26vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.31+0.16vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.08-3.50vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-4.88vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-3.32vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.99-3.81vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.80-5.95vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.88-6.11vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.71-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Jacksonville University1.977.4%1st Place
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12.23Connecticut College0.652.8%1st Place
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7.84Dartmouth College1.876.7%1st Place
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8.88College of Charleston1.455.4%1st Place
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9.87George Washington University1.324.5%1st Place
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5.98Georgetown University2.2011.6%1st Place
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9.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.354.5%1st Place
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4.63Stanford University2.6118.4%1st Place
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11.78Fordham University0.903.3%1st Place
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9.74University of Michigan1.574.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Vermont1.313.0%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University2.085.9%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.7%1st Place
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.303.2%1st Place
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11.19University of Hawaii0.994.0%1st Place
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10.05Brown University1.803.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Rhode Island0.883.1%1st Place
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12.41University of Rhode Island0.712.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 15.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Grace Squires | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 18.4% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Grace Gear | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Dana Haig | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Ella Withington | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.