Race 10A

commonwealth-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Evan Gregory 7.6% 9.0% 9.2% 10.3% 11.9% 12.1% 13.6% 12.4% 9.7% 3.6% 0.6%
Viktor Wettergren 19.7% 17.1% 15.8% 12.8% 11.3% 9.5% 7.7% 3.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Michael Rottier 12.7% 11.6% 13.7% 11.7% 11.7% 12.3% 11.5% 8.5% 4.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Colby Vickerson 10.5% 10.7% 9.7% 12.9% 13.0% 11.7% 12.2% 8.8% 5.9% 4.2% 0.4%
Holly McGarr 1.7% 3.3% 2.6% 2.5% 3.0% 4.8% 5.7% 9.5% 18.0% 23.0% 25.9%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 8.4% 8.1% 9.3% 8.6% 10.9% 11.4% 12.1% 12.3% 10.1% 7.2% 1.6%
Kyle Brego 9.0% 8.7% 10.7% 10.1% 10.9% 10.2% 11.9% 12.9% 9.9% 4.2% 1.5%
Rinchen Harrison 9.3% 8.6% 12.4% 11.7% 10.6% 11.7% 8.5% 12.9% 9.2% 4.0% 1.1%
Kate Shaner 18.2% 20.0% 12.6% 14.3% 10.2% 9.2% 8.0% 4.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Kelsey Martins 2.0% 1.7% 2.6% 3.0% 3.7% 5.0% 5.4% 8.2% 17.3% 27.2% 23.9%
Alison Deyett 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 2.8% 2.1% 3.4% 6.0% 11.7% 23.7% 44.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.