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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+5.11vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+3.01vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.72+5.93vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.21+4.36vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.70+2.55vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.09+4.52vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.16+1.43vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.92vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.26+1.34vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.48+0.23vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.79vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.44-2.18vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-2.49vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.83-2.46vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.32+0.21vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-5.66vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.25-7.28vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.77-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Boston College2.5610.9%1st Place
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5.01Yale University2.4215.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Pennsylvania1.725.5%1st Place
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8.36Tulane University2.216.4%1st Place
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7.55Cornell University1.707.5%1st Place
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10.52University of South Florida1.093.5%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Naval Academy2.165.1%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.038.9%1st Place
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10.34North Carolina State University1.263.5%1st Place
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10.23Bowdoin College1.483.8%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Los Angeles1.304.9%1st Place
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9.82Old Dominion University1.444.6%1st Place
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10.51Boston University1.143.9%1st Place
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11.54Tufts University0.833.0%1st Place
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15.21SUNY Maritime College-0.321.2%1st Place
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10.34Northeastern University1.184.8%1st Place
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9.72Roger Williams University1.254.8%1st Place
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12.1Northwestern University0.772.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 15.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 48.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.