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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.08+7.68vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+5.57vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.97+4.93vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.80+6.12vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.61-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.57+3.56vs Predicted
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72.13+1.44vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+2.71vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.65+3.22vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.20-3.92vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.32-1.30vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.90-0.02vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-3.55vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.71-1.81vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.31-3.90vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.45-7.24vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.88-6.13vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii0.99-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68Harvard University2.086.8%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College1.878.1%1st Place
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7.93Jacksonville University1.977.3%1st Place
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10.12Brown University1.803.5%1st Place
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4.57Stanford University2.6117.3%1st Place
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9.56University of Michigan1.575.4%1st Place
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8.442.135.8%1st Place
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10.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.303.2%1st Place
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12.22Connecticut College0.652.3%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University2.2011.5%1st Place
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9.7George Washington University1.325.2%1st Place
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11.98Fordham University0.902.7%1st Place
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9.45St. Mary's College of Maryland1.354.5%1st Place
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12.19University of Rhode Island0.711.8%1st Place
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11.1University of Vermont1.313.4%1st Place
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8.76College of Charleston1.454.7%1st Place
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10.87University of Rhode Island0.883.8%1st Place
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11.07University of Hawaii0.992.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte Rose | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 17.3% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Dana Haig | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Ella Withington | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 16.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Megan Gimple | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 16.1% |
| Grace Gear | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
| Grace Squires | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.