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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+1.08vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy2.03+1.21vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+1.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.66-0.10vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.76-0.60vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.27-0.71vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.32-3.75vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.35-0.22vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-2.15-1.13vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-1.20-3.45vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Tufts University2.910.4%1st Place
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3.21Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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4.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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3.9Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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5.4University of New Hampshire0.760.1%1st Place
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6.29McGill University0.270.0%1st Place
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4.25Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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8.78Bentley University-1.350.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Connecticut-2.150.0%1st Place
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8.55Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.98University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 42.2% | 28.6% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 18.0% | 21.8% | 20.6% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mara Porter | 11.4% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 20.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 23.3% | 16.0% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 10.2% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mikaela Donovan | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 18.6% | 21.8% | 26.4% | 15.4% |
| Marissa Eklund | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 13.2% | 19.7% | 52.1% |
| Earl Lin | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 19.0% | 25.4% | 22.5% | 12.1% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 15.3% | 22.4% | 27.1% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.