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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+1.07vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy2.03+1.19vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.32+1.48vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+0.71vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.76+0.37vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.66-2.14vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.27-1.90vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.35-1.24vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-1.20-2.37vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-2.15-2.19vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Tufts University2.910.4%1st Place
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3.19Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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4.48Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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4.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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5.37University of New Hampshire0.760.1%1st Place
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3.86Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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6.1McGill University0.270.0%1st Place
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8.76Bentley University-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.63Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Connecticut-2.150.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 41.4% | 30.1% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 18.1% | 22.2% | 21.0% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 7.5% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mara Porter | 12.3% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Mikaela Donovan | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 18.3% | 22.4% | 23.8% | 17.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 18.0% | 25.1% | 22.6% | 14.5% |
| Marissa Eklund | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 22.2% | 48.0% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 14.7% | 23.3% | 27.5% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.