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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+3.87vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+3.96vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.25+7.93vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.72+4.85vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.71vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.16+2.60vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.48+3.23vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.88+0.02vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.09+1.46vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.82vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.26-0.77vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.34-2.47vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-2.54vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.32+1.12vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.25-5.62vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.44-6.23vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.14-6.67vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.77-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Yale University2.4215.6%1st Place
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5.96Boston College2.5611.3%1st Place
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10.93Tufts University1.253.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Pennsylvania1.725.5%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.4%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Naval Academy2.165.9%1st Place
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10.23Bowdoin College1.484.0%1st Place
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8.02Cornell University1.886.7%1st Place
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10.46University of South Florida1.093.6%1st Place
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9.18University of California at Los Angeles1.304.7%1st Place
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10.23North Carolina State University1.264.4%1st Place
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9.53Tulane University1.345.0%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University1.183.8%1st Place
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15.12SUNY Maritime College-0.320.9%1st Place
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9.38Roger Williams University1.255.1%1st Place
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9.77Old Dominion University1.445.0%1st Place
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10.33Boston University1.143.8%1st Place
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12.38Northwestern University0.771.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 15.6% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.3% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 47.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.