← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College1.87+6.73vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+6.14vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.32+6.89vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University1.97+3.71vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.08+3.49vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.80+3.89vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University0.90+4.89vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island0.71+4.14vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.64-3.96vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University2.20-3.90vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-0.49vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan1.57-2.45vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-3.53vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College0.65-1.69vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston1.45-6.14vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.31-4.67vs Predicted
-
17University of Hawaii0.99-6.00vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island0.88-7.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.73Dartmouth College1.877.5%1st Place
-
8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.3%1st Place
-
9.89George Washington University1.324.3%1st Place
-
7.71Jacksonville University1.976.3%1st Place
-
8.49Harvard University2.085.5%1st Place
-
9.89Brown University1.804.6%1st Place
-
11.89Fordham University0.902.6%1st Place
-
12.14University of Rhode Island0.713.1%1st Place
-
5.04Stanford University2.6415.8%1st Place
-
6.1Georgetown University2.2011.6%1st Place
-
10.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.304.1%1st Place
-
9.55University of Michigan1.575.5%1st Place
-
9.47St. Mary's College of Maryland1.354.9%1st Place
-
12.31Connecticut College0.652.5%1st Place
-
8.86College of Charleston1.455.1%1st Place
-
11.33University of Vermont1.313.0%1st Place
-
11.0University of Hawaii0.993.7%1st Place
-
10.94University of Rhode Island0.883.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Dana Haig | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 14.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 16.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 15.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ella Withington | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 16.6% |
| Grace Squires | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Grace Gear | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.