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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+1.05vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy2.03+1.21vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.66+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.76+1.53vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-2.15+4.79vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.38vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.32-3.74vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.27-2.83vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.20-1.38vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-1.35-2.21vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Tufts University2.910.4%1st Place
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3.21Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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3.93Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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5.53University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Connecticut-2.150.0%1st Place
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4.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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4.26Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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6.17McGill University0.270.0%1st Place
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8.62Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.79Bentley University-1.350.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 42.8% | 27.5% | 17.4% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 18.6% | 21.4% | 19.9% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mara Porter | 11.0% | 14.7% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 20.8% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Eklund | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 20.8% | 49.5% |
| George Luber | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 9.8% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 22.6% | 16.8% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Earl Lin | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 8.5% | 18.8% | 24.3% | 22.6% | 14.3% |
| Mikaela Donovan | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 16.5% | 22.9% | 26.7% | 15.5% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 17.0% | 22.6% | 26.0% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.