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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+2.86vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy2.03+1.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91-0.91vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.32+0.55vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.27+0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-2.15+2.88vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-3.58vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.35-1.23vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.76-5.55vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-1.20-3.43vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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3.19Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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2.09Tufts University2.910.4%1st Place
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4.55Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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6.22McGill University0.270.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Connecticut-2.150.0%1st Place
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4.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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8.77Bentley University-1.350.0%1st Place
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5.45University of New Hampshire0.760.1%1st Place
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8.57Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mara Porter | 11.7% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 18.8% | 20.7% | 21.4% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 41.7% | 28.1% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 7.1% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 24.0% | 19.0% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Eklund | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 50.2% |
| George Luber | 10.1% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mikaela Donovan | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 8.7% | 17.6% | 23.2% | 24.4% | 16.5% |
| Paige Fagan | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 19.1% | 22.3% | 24.7% | 12.4% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 14.8% | 22.6% | 27.2% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.