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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.16+7.58vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+4.06vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+1.80vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+6.48vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.48+5.08vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+4.34vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.25+2.52vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.72+0.78vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-2.14vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.25+1.04vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.34-1.57vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.09-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.30-3.86vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.88-5.83vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.26-4.83vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.44-6.03vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.77-4.82vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.32-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.58U. S. Naval Academy2.166.7%1st Place
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6.06Boston College2.569.8%1st Place
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4.8Yale University2.4217.1%1st Place
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10.48Boston University1.143.5%1st Place
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10.08Bowdoin College1.484.0%1st Place
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10.34Northeastern University1.183.8%1st Place
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9.52Roger Williams University1.255.5%1st Place
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8.78University of Pennsylvania1.725.8%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.038.8%1st Place
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11.04Tufts University1.253.5%1st Place
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9.43Tulane University1.345.0%1st Place
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10.24University of South Florida1.093.9%1st Place
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9.14University of California at Los Angeles1.305.2%1st Place
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8.17Cornell University1.886.6%1st Place
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10.17North Carolina State University1.263.9%1st Place
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9.97Old Dominion University1.443.9%1st Place
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12.18Northwestern University0.772.2%1st Place
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15.17SUNY Maritime College-0.320.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 17.1% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 11.6% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.