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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+1.67vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.58+2.45vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46-0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+0.48vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-0.31vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.97+0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.34-3.03vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-1.89-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Fairfield University0.5928.4%1st Place
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4.45Bates College-0.589.9%1st Place
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2.63Salve Regina University0.4629.3%1st Place
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4.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.528.8%1st Place
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4.69Maine Maritime Academy-0.657.9%1st Place
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6.65Middlebury College-1.972.1%1st Place
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3.97University of Vermont-0.3411.5%1st Place
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6.45Brandeis University-1.892.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 28.4% | 24.9% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Nash | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 4.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 29.3% | 24.1% | 20.4% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 12.2% | 4.5% |
| Griffin Stolp | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 5.7% |
| Aengus Onken | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 23.0% | 45.5% |
| Ocean Smith | 11.5% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Miles Laker | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 26.4% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.