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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.08+1.90vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.36-0.44vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.01+1.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.22-1.67vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.72-1.80vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.32-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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2.56University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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3.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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6.24University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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4.33University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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5.2University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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7.03California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Richartz | 22.5% | 25.4% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 12.7% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 31.8% | 23.5% | 20.1% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Keely Scates | 12.7% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 17.0% | 31.9% | 26.6% |
| Ashley Hobson | 10.5% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 2.9% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 22.0% | 21.6% | 9.1% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 19.5% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.