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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.08+7.55vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+3.99vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.80+7.07vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.87+3.71vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.32+4.85vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.90+5.83vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+1.14vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.45+0.90vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.97-1.10vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.64-4.83vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.57-1.47vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.71+0.38vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-2.43vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.65-1.81vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.99-4.08vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.31-4.64vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-7.91vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.88-7.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55Harvard University2.086.9%1st Place
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5.99Georgetown University2.2011.8%1st Place
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10.07Brown University1.804.5%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College1.877.0%1st Place
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9.85George Washington University1.325.0%1st Place
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11.83Fordham University0.903.5%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.4%1st Place
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8.9College of Charleston1.455.3%1st Place
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7.9Jacksonville University1.976.7%1st Place
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5.17Stanford University2.6413.8%1st Place
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9.53University of Michigan1.574.3%1st Place
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12.38University of Rhode Island0.712.4%1st Place
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10.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.304.3%1st Place
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12.19Connecticut College0.652.7%1st Place
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10.92University of Hawaii0.993.3%1st Place
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11.36University of Vermont1.313.2%1st Place
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9.09St. Mary's College of Maryland1.355.4%1st Place
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10.85University of Rhode Island0.883.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.9% |
| Dana Haig | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Grace Squires | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 13.8% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.4% |
| Ella Withington | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 15.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
| Grace Gear | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.