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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.31+1.85vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+2.60vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.32+1.55vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.54-2.44vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.27+0.21vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54+2.31vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy2.03-4.87vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.16-2.58vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.20-1.20vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-1.13-3.37vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.35-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Tufts University2.310.2%1st Place
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4.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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4.55Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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2.56Tufts University2.540.3%1st Place
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6.21McGill University0.270.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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3.13Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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6.42University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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8.8Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.93Bentley University-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Barclift | 23.0% | 24.6% | 19.4% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 30.0% | 25.4% | 20.5% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 22.6% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 24.0% | 34.4% |
| Hollister Poole | 20.3% | 20.8% | 21.1% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Sleight | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 20.5% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Earl Lin | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 21.8% | 21.4% | 22.7% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 22.3% | 18.1% |
| Mikaela Donovan | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 23.6% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.