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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+9.06vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+4.19vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.44+7.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.19vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.16+3.40vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.25+5.17vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-2.22vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.21vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.48+1.23vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14+0.27vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.25-1.61vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.26-1.81vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.34-3.53vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.72-5.10vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.88-6.98vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.77-3.92vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.09-6.69vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.32-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.06Northeastern University1.183.7%1st Place
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6.19Boston College2.5610.3%1st Place
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10.1Old Dominion University1.444.2%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.038.2%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Naval Academy2.165.0%1st Place
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11.17Tufts University1.253.3%1st Place
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4.78Yale University2.4217.1%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Los Angeles1.305.7%1st Place
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10.23Bowdoin College1.484.0%1st Place
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10.27Boston University1.144.5%1st Place
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9.39Roger Williams University1.254.4%1st Place
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10.19North Carolina State University1.264.2%1st Place
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9.47Tulane University1.345.3%1st Place
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8.9University of Pennsylvania1.726.7%1st Place
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8.02Cornell University1.886.0%1st Place
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12.08Northwestern University0.772.5%1st Place
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10.31University of South Florida1.093.9%1st Place
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15.05SUNY Maritime College-0.321.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 6.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 17.1% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.