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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy2.03+2.27vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.54+0.47vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.31-0.09vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+0.71vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.32-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.16+0.54vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.27-0.84vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.20-0.30vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-0.67vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-1.13-3.36vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.35-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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2.47Tufts University2.540.3%1st Place
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2.91Tufts University2.310.2%1st Place
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4.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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4.38Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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6.54University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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6.16McGill University0.270.0%1st Place
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8.7Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.89Bentley University-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hollister Poole | 17.2% | 19.9% | 21.2% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 33.7% | 23.5% | 20.0% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 22.9% | 22.8% | 21.5% | 16.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 18.0% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 8.9% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Sleight | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 21.5% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Earl Lin | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 23.4% | 19.5% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 11.0% | 17.2% | 21.5% | 36.5% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 22.9% | 18.4% |
| Mikaela Donovan | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 20.0% | 23.0% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.