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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.08+7.82vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+6.15vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.97+4.81vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.04+2.97vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+5.61vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.45+2.79vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29+0.62vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.71+4.09vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-2.96vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-0.84vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.88-0.06vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.90+0.11vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.32-3.18vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.99-2.99vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.65-2.44vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.57-6.55vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.31-5.62vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College1.87-10.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82Harvard University2.085.7%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.137.5%1st Place
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7.81Jacksonville University1.977.3%1st Place
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6.97Stanford University2.049.1%1st Place
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10.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.303.5%1st Place
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8.79College of Charleston1.456.2%1st Place
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7.62Brown University2.298.8%1st Place
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12.09University of Rhode Island0.712.4%1st Place
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6.04Georgetown University2.2011.2%1st Place
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9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.355.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Rhode Island0.883.5%1st Place
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12.11Fordham University0.902.6%1st Place
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9.82George Washington University1.324.3%1st Place
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11.01University of Hawaii0.993.5%1st Place
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12.56Connecticut College0.651.5%1st Place
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9.45University of Michigan1.575.2%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont1.314.0%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College1.878.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Dana Haig | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ella Withington | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Grace Squires | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 18.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Grace Gear | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.