← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Maine Maritime Academy2.03+2.27vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.54+0.48vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.32+1.52vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+0.68vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.31-3.22vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire0.16-0.45vs Predicted
-
8McGill University0.27-1.85vs Predicted
-
9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54+0.25vs Predicted
-
11Wesleyan University-1.20-2.18vs Predicted
-
12Bentley University-1.35-3.04vs Predicted
-
13University of Connecticut-1.13-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.27Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
-
2.48Tufts University2.540.3%1st Place
-
4.52Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
-
4.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
-
2.78Tufts University2.310.3%1st Place
-
6.55University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
-
6.15McGill University0.270.0%1st Place
-
9.25University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
-
8.82Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
-
8.96Bentley University-1.350.0%1st Place
-
8.54University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hollister Poole | 17.3% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 31.8% | 25.7% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 25.4% | 25.0% | 21.0% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Sleight | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 21.7% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 23.2% | 32.5% |
| Earl Lin | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 24.1% | 21.4% |
| Mikaela Donovan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 22.0% | 27.4% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 20.8% | 21.8% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.