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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy2.03+2.28vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.54+0.48vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.31-0.13vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.32+0.51vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.16+1.45vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.39vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.20+0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-1.13-0.37vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.27-3.68vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-2.75vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.35-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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2.48Tufts University2.540.3%1st Place
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2.87Tufts University2.310.2%1st Place
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4.51Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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6.45University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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4.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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8.67Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
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6.32McGill University0.270.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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8.92Bentley University-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hollister Poole | 17.4% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 32.7% | 25.1% | 20.1% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 22.8% | 23.5% | 22.0% | 15.6% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Sleight | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| George Luber | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Earl Lin | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 23.3% | 20.1% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 20.7% | 19.7% |
| Elyse Surette-DiMuzio | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 20.9% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 23.2% | 34.4% |
| Mikaela Donovan | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 14.6% | 20.2% | 23.6% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.