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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.86+6.14vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.26+7.48vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.25+7.24vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.35vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+4.40vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.77+5.60vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.44+2.12vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.21-0.38vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.56-3.58vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.52+2.28vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.32+3.80vs Predicted
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12Cornell University0.97-1.59vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.56-4.26vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-7.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy0.37-2.50vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.48-6.69vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.25-8.27vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.18-8.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Yale University1.868.9%1st Place
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9.48North Carolina State University1.264.5%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University1.254.0%1st Place
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8.35University of California at Los Angeles1.306.5%1st Place
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9.4Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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11.6Northwestern University0.772.7%1st Place
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9.12Old Dominion University1.444.9%1st Place
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7.62Tulane University2.217.5%1st Place
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5.42Boston College2.5613.8%1st Place
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12.28University of South Florida0.522.9%1st Place
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14.8SUNY Maritime College-0.321.6%1st Place
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10.41Cornell University0.973.6%1st Place
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8.74University of Pennsylvania1.565.4%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.039.6%1st Place
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12.5U. S. Naval Academy0.372.1%1st Place
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9.31Bowdoin College1.485.5%1st Place
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8.73Roger Williams University1.256.6%1st Place
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9.5Northeastern University1.185.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 12.3% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 41.0% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 13.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.