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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+7.22vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+5.66vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.97+4.62vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.08+4.67vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.04+1.98vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+1.61vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+2.39vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.45+0.86vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.90+2.83vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.57-0.33vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-0.53vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-5.99vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.65-0.67vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.88-2.98vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.31-3.61vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.99-5.05vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.32-7.12vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.71-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.8%1st Place
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7.66Dartmouth College1.878.2%1st Place
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7.62Jacksonville University1.977.9%1st Place
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8.67Harvard University2.085.8%1st Place
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6.98Stanford University2.049.3%1st Place
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7.61Brown University2.297.2%1st Place
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9.39St. Mary's College of Maryland1.355.2%1st Place
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8.86College of Charleston1.455.7%1st Place
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11.83Fordham University0.902.4%1st Place
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9.67University of Michigan1.575.0%1st Place
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10.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.304.0%1st Place
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6.01Georgetown University2.2012.8%1st Place
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12.33Connecticut College0.652.9%1st Place
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11.02University of Rhode Island0.883.4%1st Place
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11.39University of Vermont1.313.4%1st Place
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10.95University of Hawaii0.993.4%1st Place
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9.88George Washington University1.324.5%1st Place
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12.46University of Rhode Island0.712.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Rose | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Grace Squires | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
| Ella Withington | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| Grace Gear | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.