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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.86+6.13vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+3.50vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.77+8.59vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.25+6.37vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.37+6.19vs Predicted
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7Cornell University0.97+3.47vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.26+1.56vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.25-0.24vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.52+2.12vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.32+3.73vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.48-2.59vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.56-4.20vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.14-4.42vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-5.64vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.44-6.90vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.21-9.23vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles1.30-9.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Yale University1.869.2%1st Place
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5.5Boston College2.5613.4%1st Place
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11.59Northwestern University0.773.2%1st Place
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10.37Tufts University1.254.5%1st Place
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6.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.3%1st Place
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12.19U. S. Naval Academy0.372.6%1st Place
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10.47Cornell University0.973.6%1st Place
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9.56North Carolina State University1.264.9%1st Place
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8.76Roger Williams University1.255.8%1st Place
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12.12University of South Florida0.522.8%1st Place
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14.73SUNY Maritime College-0.320.9%1st Place
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9.41Bowdoin College1.485.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Pennsylvania1.565.3%1st Place
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9.58Boston University1.144.3%1st Place
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9.36Northeastern University1.185.6%1st Place
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9.1Old Dominion University1.445.2%1st Place
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7.77Tulane University2.216.8%1st Place
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8.44University of California at Los Angeles1.306.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 12.1% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 11.4% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 41.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.