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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+5.33vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+5.22vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+4.65vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+1.91vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.90+5.79vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.49+2.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.61vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.93+2.65vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+0.37vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University3.26-0.34vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.41-2.05vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.00-1.18vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.89-2.19vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-4.02vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.88-8.23vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.77-4.46vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.45-4.20vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.81-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.22Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.65Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.91Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.79Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.65Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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9.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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9.66Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.82Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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10.81Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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6.77Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.54Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.8Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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14.64Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Raul Rios | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Michael Popp | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Gabriel Salk | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 4.8% |
| David Larson | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Tony Collins | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.5% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% |
| John Silvestri | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 15.4% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.