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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+5.35vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.77+9.71vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+4.06vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+1.93vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+3.66vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.93+4.75vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+1.46vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.74-0.62vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+0.33vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University3.26-0.39vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.05-0.59vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.90-0.77vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.83-6.02vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.89-3.37vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.00-4.56vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-3.21vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.81-2.11vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.44-9.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.71Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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5.93Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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8.46Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.38Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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9.61Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.23Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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6.98Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.63Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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10.44Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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12.79Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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14.89Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Raul Rios | 12.7% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Gabriel Salk | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| David Larson | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Tony Collins | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| John Silvestri | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 15.5% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 15.8% | 40.1% |
| Michael Popp | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.