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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.86+5.85vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.44+6.89vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.48+6.25vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+5.22vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.56+3.58vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.26+3.38vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+2.21vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.25+0.45vs Predicted
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9Cornell University0.97+1.12vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.25+0.17vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-4.80vs Predicted
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12Boston College0.96-1.87vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.30-4.90vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.77-2.69vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.34-6.29vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.37-3.70vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.09-7.64vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.32-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Yale University1.868.8%1st Place
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8.89Old Dominion University1.445.9%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College1.485.9%1st Place
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9.22Boston University1.145.7%1st Place
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8.58University of Pennsylvania1.566.1%1st Place
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9.38North Carolina State University1.264.5%1st Place
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9.21Northeastern University1.185.1%1st Place
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8.45Roger Williams University1.256.5%1st Place
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10.12Cornell University0.974.5%1st Place
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10.17Tufts University1.254.5%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.8%1st Place
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10.13Boston College0.964.1%1st Place
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8.1University of California at Los Angeles1.307.3%1st Place
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11.31Northwestern University0.774.1%1st Place
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8.71Tulane University1.345.6%1st Place
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12.3U. S. Naval Academy0.372.5%1st Place
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9.36University of South Florida1.096.8%1st Place
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14.79SUNY Maritime College-0.321.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Amanda Majernik | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.