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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+9.15vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+5.95vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+3.42vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+3.53vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.60+3.21vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.08+0.75vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.92-0.62vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.38+0.50vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.81-2.26vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.39+2.96vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.05-0.55vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.83-1.05vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-0.71vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.13-3.51vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.29-5.98vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.24-5.44vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.12-3.11vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-6.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.7%1st Place
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7.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.6%1st Place
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6.42Harvard University1.9010.0%1st Place
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7.53St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.0%1st Place
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8.21Dartmouth College1.606.7%1st Place
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6.75Stanford University2.089.7%1st Place
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6.38Brown University1.9210.2%1st Place
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8.5Jacksonville University-1.386.5%1st Place
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6.74College of Charleston1.8110.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Michigan0.391.9%1st Place
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10.45University of Hawaii1.053.5%1st Place
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10.95Connecticut College0.833.8%1st Place
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12.29University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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10.49Fordham University1.133.5%1st Place
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9.02Georgetown University1.294.7%1st Place
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10.56George Washington University1.243.3%1st Place
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13.89University of Rhode Island0.121.6%1st Place
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11.74University of California at Santa Barbara0.573.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Stephanie Houck | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Emily Allen | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 18.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 26.9% |
| harriet jessup | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.