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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+6.29vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+5.05vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+7.78vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+3.35vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+1.11vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.41+2.76vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.37vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.77+2.46vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-3.84vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.81+3.83vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.90-0.72vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.93-2.35vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.89-3.39vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.05-4.73vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.49-7.53vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.45-4.15vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University3.26-8.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.78Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.35Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.11Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.46Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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6.16Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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14.83Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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11.28Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.65Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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10.61Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.85Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.16Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| William Haeger | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| David Larson | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Michael Popp | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Raul Rios | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 41.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| Gabriel Salk | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| Tony Collins | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| John Silvestri | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 16.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.