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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+4.28vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+5.19vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+1.42vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.07+3.69vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.34+0.64vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73+1.13vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.55vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.44+2.11vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.37+3.63vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.95+0.34vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.24+2.51vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.09-1.87vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.44-3.19vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.31-1.24vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.55-2.80vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.75-4.49vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-7.56vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.25-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Cornell University2.3812.8%1st Place
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7.19University of Pennsylvania1.777.6%1st Place
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4.42Yale University2.7117.1%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College2.076.9%1st Place
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5.64Boston College2.3411.1%1st Place
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7.13Tulane University1.737.8%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Naval Academy2.048.8%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University1.444.1%1st Place
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12.63Boston University0.372.1%1st Place
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10.34Old Dominion University0.953.2%1st Place
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13.51University of California at Los Angeles0.241.1%1st Place
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10.13North Carolina State University1.093.7%1st Place
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9.81University of South Florida1.443.8%1st Place
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12.76Northeastern University0.311.9%1st Place
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12.2Northwestern University0.551.9%1st Place
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11.51Roger Williams University0.751.8%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.5%1st Place
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14.76SUNY Maritime College-0.250.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.1% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 17.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.2% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% |
| Emma Snead | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.