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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+2.90vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.08+0.98vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.72+2.16vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.36-1.38vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.01+1.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.22-1.64vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.32-0.94vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.57-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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2.98Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
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5.16University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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2.62University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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6.23University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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4.36University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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7.06California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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3.7University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keely Scates | 12.8% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
| Eliza Richartz | 23.1% | 20.9% | 20.9% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 22.4% | 21.0% | 8.9% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 29.1% | 25.9% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 32.8% | 25.5% |
| Ashley Hobson | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 2.8% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 17.8% | 60.4% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 15.0% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.