← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fairfield University0.59+1.71vs Predicted
-
2Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+2.71vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University0.46-0.36vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+0.42vs Predicted
-
5Bates College-0.58-0.56vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-1.97+0.69vs Predicted
-
7Brandeis University-1.89-0.62vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont-0.34-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.71Fairfield University0.5926.5%1st Place
-
4.71Maine Maritime Academy-0.658.0%1st Place
-
2.64Salve Regina University0.4628.1%1st Place
-
4.42University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.5210.0%1st Place
-
4.44Bates College-0.589.6%1st Place
-
6.69Middlebury College-1.972.0%1st Place
-
6.38Brandeis University-1.892.9%1st Place
-
4.02University of Vermont-0.3412.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 26.5% | 25.5% | 19.8% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Stolp | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 5.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 28.1% | 25.4% | 19.7% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 11.6% | 5.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 9.6% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 11.8% | 4.4% |
| Aengus Onken | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 25.1% | 44.7% |
| Miles Laker | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 24.6% | 37.2% |
| Ocean Smith | 12.8% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.