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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.90+5.23vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+5.98vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+7.24vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+2.83vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.08+1.59vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.29+2.95vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.60+1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+4.51vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.92-2.54vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.36vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.39+2.03vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.24-1.47vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-1.38-4.61vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.05-3.56vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-3.22vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.13-5.51vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.83-5.97vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.12-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Harvard University1.9010.5%1st Place
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7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.2%1st Place
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10.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.5%1st Place
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6.83College of Charleston1.819.8%1st Place
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6.59Stanford University2.0810.9%1st Place
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8.95Georgetown University1.295.2%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College1.608.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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6.46Brown University1.9210.8%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.9%1st Place
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13.03University of Michigan0.391.7%1st Place
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10.53George Washington University1.243.6%1st Place
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8.39Jacksonville University-1.385.8%1st Place
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10.44University of Hawaii1.053.4%1st Place
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11.78University of California at Santa Barbara0.572.5%1st Place
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10.49Fordham University1.132.8%1st Place
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11.03Connecticut College0.832.9%1st Place
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13.77University of Rhode Island0.122.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 15.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 18.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Emily Allen | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| harriet jessup | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| Sadie Thomas | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.