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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.34+4.73vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.07+5.80vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+3.48vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.21vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+0.09vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.44+4.32vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.73+0.27vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.50vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.71-4.41vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.09+0.31vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.44-1.19vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.95-1.82vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.75-1.73vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.24-0.43vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.55-2.99vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.25-1.30vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.31-4.23vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.37-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Boston College2.3411.5%1st Place
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7.8Bowdoin College2.075.5%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Naval Academy2.048.5%1st Place
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7.21University of Pennsylvania1.778.0%1st Place
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5.09Cornell University2.3813.8%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University1.442.6%1st Place
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7.27Tulane University1.737.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.2%1st Place
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4.59Yale University2.7117.3%1st Place
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10.31North Carolina State University1.093.1%1st Place
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9.81University of South Florida1.444.2%1st Place
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10.18Old Dominion University0.953.4%1st Place
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11.27Roger Williams University0.752.2%1st Place
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13.57University of California at Los Angeles0.241.2%1st Place
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12.01Northwestern University0.552.1%1st Place
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14.7SUNY Maritime College-0.251.6%1st Place
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12.77Northeastern University0.311.8%1st Place
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12.39Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 13.8% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.3% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 19.8% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 34.8% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.