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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+5.36vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+5.64vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+7.70vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+1.92vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.27vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.49+2.47vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05+3.25vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-1.17vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.45+3.71vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.14vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.90+0.03vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.77-0.27vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.41-4.38vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University3.26-4.92vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.81-0.29vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.89-5.00vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.93-6.08vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.83-11.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.64Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.7Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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5.92Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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6.83Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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12.71Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.03Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.73Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.08Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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14.71Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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11.0Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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10.92Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Raul Rios | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Larson | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| John Silvestri | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.9% |
| Michael Popp | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 8.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 39.9% |
| Tony Collins | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Gabriel Salk | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.