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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+5.83vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+5.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.92+3.33vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+2.90vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+1.20vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38+2.52vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.29+1.88vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.18vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.50vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.24+0.75vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.48+1.66vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.60-3.90vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.83-2.05vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-2.39vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.05-4.45vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.39-2.89vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.13-6.57vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.12-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Stanford University2.088.2%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.687.0%1st Place
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6.33Brown University1.9211.3%1st Place
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6.9College of Charleston1.819.6%1st Place
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6.2Harvard University1.9010.4%1st Place
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8.52Jacksonville University-1.386.1%1st Place
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8.88Georgetown University1.295.1%1st Place
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10.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.9%1st Place
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7.5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.8%1st Place
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10.75George Washington University1.243.5%1st Place
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12.66University of Vermont0.482.8%1st Place
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8.1Dartmouth College1.606.7%1st Place
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10.95Connecticut College0.832.9%1st Place
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11.61University of California at Santa Barbara0.572.9%1st Place
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10.55University of Hawaii1.053.7%1st Place
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13.11University of Michigan0.391.7%1st Place
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10.43Fordham University1.133.5%1st Place
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13.69University of Rhode Island0.122.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 15.7% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| harriet jessup | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 18.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Sadie Thomas | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.