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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+5.91vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+5.01vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09+7.15vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.75+7.29vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.58+2.89vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.44+3.75vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.55+4.93vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.44+2.10vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38-3.95vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.71-5.54vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-4.60vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.31+0.80vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-0.41vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.95-4.06vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.24-1.58vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.07-8.38vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.25-2.25vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-9.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Tulane University1.738.3%1st Place
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7.01University of Pennsylvania1.778.0%1st Place
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10.15North Carolina State University1.093.5%1st Place
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11.29Roger Williams University0.752.5%1st Place
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7.89Boston College1.585.9%1st Place
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9.75University of South Florida1.443.8%1st Place
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11.93Northwestern University0.552.5%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University1.443.0%1st Place
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5.05Cornell University2.3813.6%1st Place
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4.46Yale University2.7117.8%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Naval Academy2.048.8%1st Place
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12.8Northeastern University0.311.8%1st Place
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12.59Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
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9.94Old Dominion University0.953.5%1st Place
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13.42University of California at Los Angeles0.241.7%1st Place
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7.62Bowdoin College2.076.7%1st Place
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14.75SUNY Maritime College-0.250.8%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Bridget Green | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.8% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 18.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 33.1% |
| Emma Snead | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.