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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.47vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.47+6.28vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+4.36vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.16+5.33vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.27+3.87vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.73+1.01vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.48+0.95vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.29+4.77vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.27-0.14vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.44-1.52vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84-0.13vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.74-0.51vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.75-2.11vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-6.77vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.57-7.42vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.78-4.94vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-6.64vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.52-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.28Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.36Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.33Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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12.77Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.86Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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10.87Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.49Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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10.89Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.58Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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11.06Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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15.15Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Connor Needham | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Michael Booker | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 9.1% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 16.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Colin MURPHY | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Tom Peabody | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 7.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Max Nickbarg | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 5.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.