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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+6.26vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.78+9.21vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+4.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.18vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.16+4.27vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.47+2.07vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.48+1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.27+0.87vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.27-0.10vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75+1.32vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.44-2.70vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.57-4.01vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.74-2.02vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.84-3.60vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.29-2.17vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-8.48vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-6.62vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.52-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.21Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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7.35Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.27Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.07Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.9Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.32Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.3Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.99Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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10.98Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.83Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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15.15Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Robert Savoie | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Connor Needham | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Michael Booker | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.2% |
| Colin MURPHY | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Max Nickbarg | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 15.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.