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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+5.80vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+8.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+9.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.92+2.21vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.39+7.87vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.13+4.24vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.29+1.85vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.36vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.81-2.27vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-2.19vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.60-2.80vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48+0.50vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.90-6.76vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.83-2.92vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University-1.38-6.47vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.05-5.51vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.24-6.38vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.12-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Stanford University2.089.3%1st Place
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10.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.0%1st Place
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12.04University of California at Santa Barbara0.572.5%1st Place
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6.21Brown University1.9211.1%1st Place
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12.87University of Michigan0.392.2%1st Place
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10.24Fordham University1.134.0%1st Place
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8.85Georgetown University1.295.9%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.6%1st Place
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6.73College of Charleston1.819.3%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.687.5%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College1.606.2%1st Place
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12.5University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
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6.24Harvard University1.9010.5%1st Place
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11.08Connecticut College0.833.4%1st Place
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8.53Jacksonville University-1.386.5%1st Place
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10.49University of Hawaii1.053.6%1st Place
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10.62George Washington University1.243.7%1st Place
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13.8University of Rhode Island0.121.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| harriet jessup | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 17.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Emily Allen | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.