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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+6.26vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.16+7.64vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+4.32vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.29+8.71vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.84+5.64vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.24vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.47+1.04vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.44+0.11vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.95+1.26vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.74+1.41vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.27-1.88vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.57-4.00vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.48-5.10vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.75-3.24vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.64vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.78-5.00vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.27-7.91vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.52-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.64Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.32Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.71Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.64Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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10.26University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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11.41Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.0Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.76Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.0Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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9.09Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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15.14Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Jensen | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 16.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 5.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Connor Needham | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Colin MURPHY | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 6.7% |
| Michael Booker | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Max Nickbarg | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Robert Savoie | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.