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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.58+6.93vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+2.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+6.14vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.71+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.98vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.07+1.75vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.88vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73-0.94vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.44+0.68vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.55+2.10vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.44-0.96vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.95-1.93vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.75-1.68vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.31-1.11vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.24-1.54vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-3.51vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.25-2.32vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.09-7.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93Boston College1.585.9%1st Place
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4.88Cornell University2.3814.9%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.1%1st Place
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4.41Yale University2.7118.9%1st Place
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6.98University of Pennsylvania1.777.6%1st Place
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7.75Bowdoin College2.077.0%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Naval Academy2.049.6%1st Place
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7.06Tulane University1.738.2%1st Place
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9.68University of South Florida1.443.5%1st Place
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12.1Northwestern University0.551.8%1st Place
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10.04Tufts University1.443.8%1st Place
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10.07Old Dominion University0.953.8%1st Place
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11.32Roger Williams University0.752.6%1st Place
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12.89Northeastern University0.311.8%1st Place
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13.46University of California at Los Angeles0.241.4%1st Place
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12.49Boston University0.371.4%1st Place
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14.68SUNY Maritime College-0.251.0%1st Place
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10.01North Carolina State University1.092.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
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Libby Redmond | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
Bridget Green | 14.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Emma Snead | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
Mia Nicolosi | 18.9% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Sofia Segalla | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Eva Blauvelt | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Caroline Benson | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Sydney Monahan | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
Marina Hutzler | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% |
Chloe Holder | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
Michaela ODonnell | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
Adeline Schoen | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.9% |
Mary Jane Howland | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 16.9% |
Lucy Paskoff | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% |
Rebecca Runyan | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 34.8% |
Isabella du Plessis | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.