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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+5.58vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+4.70vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.92+3.28vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+3.86vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.60vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.39+6.88vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.96+3.40vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.21vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.13+1.16vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.90-3.96vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.38-2.67vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.60-4.01vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.12+0.68vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.34-0.73vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.05-4.89vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-4.42vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University1.29-8.19vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.48-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Stanford University2.0810.2%1st Place
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6.7College of Charleston1.8110.7%1st Place
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6.28Brown University1.929.7%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.9%1st Place
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7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.4%1st Place
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12.88University of Michigan0.391.9%1st Place
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10.4George Washington University0.963.6%1st Place
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10.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.5%1st Place
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10.16Fordham University1.134.0%1st Place
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6.04Harvard University1.9011.3%1st Place
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8.33Jacksonville University-1.386.5%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College1.606.6%1st Place
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13.68University of Rhode Island0.121.8%1st Place
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13.27Connecticut College0.341.4%1st Place
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10.11University of Hawaii1.054.1%1st Place
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11.58University of California at Santa Barbara0.573.1%1st Place
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8.81Georgetown University1.295.7%1st Place
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12.52University of Vermont0.481.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 16.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.3% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 23.4% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 19.9% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| harriet jessup | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.