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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+6.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.16+7.60vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.41vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.78+6.83vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+2.96vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.57+1.61vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84+3.80vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.27+0.86vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.47-0.96vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.74+1.41vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.42vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.44-3.48vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.70-6.00vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.75-3.23vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.29-2.17vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.27-7.01vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-6.62vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.52-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.6Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.83Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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7.96Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.61Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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10.8Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.86Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.41Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.0Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.77Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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12.83Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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15.12Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Max Nickbarg | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Connor Needham | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Colin MURPHY | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 15.9% |
| Michael Booker | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.