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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+6.02vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.75+9.11vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+4.10vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48+3.67vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.57+2.35vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.47+1.84vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.16+2.13vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.84+2.40vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.27-0.38vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.78+0.99vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.44-2.94vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.66vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.74-2.26vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-3.74vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.29-2.40vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.27-7.26vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.72-5.91vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.52-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.11Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.1Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.67Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.35Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.13Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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10.99Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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8.06Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.74Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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10.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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12.6Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.74Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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14.95Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Liz Dubovik | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Connor Needham | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Michael Booker | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Robert Savoie | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| Colin MURPHY | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% |
| Christopher Ford | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 14.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.