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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+6.07vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.33vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+2.07vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.44+5.76vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.40vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.09+3.92vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.77-0.14vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.44+1.97vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.75+2.29vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.58-2.17vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.07-3.41vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-2.63vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-0.43vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.24-0.56vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.55-2.94vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-5.99vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.31-4.22vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.25-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Tulane University1.739.0%1st Place
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4.33Yale University2.7118.2%1st Place
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5.07Cornell University2.3813.5%1st Place
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9.76University of South Florida1.444.0%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Naval Academy2.049.2%1st Place
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9.92North Carolina State University1.093.5%1st Place
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6.86University of Pennsylvania1.778.9%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University1.442.9%1st Place
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11.29Roger Williams University0.752.7%1st Place
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7.83Boston College1.585.5%1st Place
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7.59Bowdoin College2.077.4%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.1%1st Place
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12.57Boston University0.371.4%1st Place
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13.44University of California at Los Angeles0.241.7%1st Place
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12.06Northwestern University0.552.1%1st Place
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10.01Old Dominion University0.953.5%1st Place
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12.78Northeastern University0.311.9%1st Place
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14.68SUNY Maritime College-0.250.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.2% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 13.5% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 19.1% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 12.4% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.