← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+7.07vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.08+4.58vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.44vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.92+2.21vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University1.29+3.76vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University1.90+0.18vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University-1.38+1.32vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College0.34+5.23vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.02vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston1.81-3.24vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College1.60-2.90vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.48+0.67vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University0.96-2.72vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University1.13-3.66vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-3.46vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island0.12-2.42vs Predicted
-
17University of Hawaii1.05-6.70vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan0.39-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.687.1%1st Place
-
6.58Stanford University2.089.7%1st Place
-
7.44St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.6%1st Place
-
6.21Brown University1.9211.1%1st Place
-
8.76Georgetown University1.295.9%1st Place
-
6.18Harvard University1.9011.0%1st Place
-
8.32Jacksonville University-1.386.0%1st Place
-
13.23Connecticut College0.342.4%1st Place
-
10.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.2%1st Place
-
6.76College of Charleston1.818.5%1st Place
-
8.1Dartmouth College1.606.1%1st Place
-
12.67University of Vermont0.482.3%1st Place
-
10.28George Washington University0.964.0%1st Place
-
10.34Fordham University1.133.8%1st Place
-
11.54University of California at Santa Barbara0.572.6%1st Place
-
13.58University of Rhode Island0.121.5%1st Place
-
10.3University of Hawaii1.053.9%1st Place
-
12.61University of Michigan0.392.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Stephanie Houck | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 20.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 14.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| harriet jessup | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 23.9% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.