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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.28vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+3.01vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.07+4.55vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.44+5.98vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.95vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.37+6.35vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.71-2.50vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.58-0.25vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.95+0.90vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.09+0.28vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.44-1.32vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.55+0.11vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.75-1.83vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-4.80vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.31-2.27vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.24-2.45vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.73-9.77vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.25-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.0%1st Place
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5.01Cornell University2.3814.0%1st Place
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7.55Bowdoin College2.077.4%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University1.444.2%1st Place
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6.95University of Pennsylvania1.778.2%1st Place
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12.35Boston University0.371.5%1st Place
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4.5Yale University2.7116.6%1st Place
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7.75Boston College1.586.9%1st Place
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9.9Old Dominion University0.953.6%1st Place
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10.28North Carolina State University1.093.8%1st Place
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9.68University of South Florida1.443.2%1st Place
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12.11Northwestern University0.551.8%1st Place
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11.17Roger Williams University0.752.8%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.4%1st Place
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12.73Northeastern University0.311.6%1st Place
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13.55University of California at Los Angeles0.241.8%1st Place
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7.23Tulane University1.737.0%1st Place
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14.79SUNY Maritime College-0.251.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.6% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Emma Snead | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.9% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 18.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 16.3% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.