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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.23vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.44+6.16vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.84+7.78vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.29+8.54vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+5.48vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.16+3.19vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.27+1.65vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.73-1.22vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.57-1.67vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-2.81vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.48-3.10vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-0.71vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.74-2.25vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.27-5.61vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.78-4.33vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.75-5.13vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.52-1.83vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.47-10.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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10.78Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.54Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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9.19Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.33Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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10.75Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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8.39Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.67Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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10.87Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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15.17Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.63Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Colin MURPHY | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 15.2% |
| Christopher Ford | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Michael Booker | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Max Nickbarg | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Liz Dubovik | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 14.4% | 45.4% |
| Connor Needham | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.