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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+2.52vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46-0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.34-0.02vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.58-0.50vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.97+0.62vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-2.30vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-1.89-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Fairfield University0.5928.7%1st Place
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4.52University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.529.1%1st Place
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2.59Salve Regina University0.4630.3%1st Place
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3.98University of Vermont-0.3411.7%1st Place
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4.5Bates College-0.588.6%1st Place
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6.62Middlebury College-1.972.0%1st Place
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4.7Maine Maritime Academy-0.657.2%1st Place
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6.41Brandeis University-1.892.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 28.7% | 24.2% | 19.3% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Marshall Rodes | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 12.2% | 5.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 30.3% | 24.4% | 19.7% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ocean Smith | 11.7% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Harrison Nash | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 4.8% |
| Aengus Onken | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 24.8% | 43.9% |
| Griffin Stolp | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 20.9% | 13.3% | 6.3% |
| Miles Laker | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 26.2% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.