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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+2.68vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.36+0.57vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.94vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.08-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.22-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.72-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.73vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.32-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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2.57University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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3.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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3.02Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
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4.34University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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5.15University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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6.27University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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7.02California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Rupp | 14.1% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 31.3% | 23.9% | 19.9% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Keely Scates | 13.2% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 1.9% |
| Eliza Richartz | 22.5% | 21.6% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Ashley Hobson | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 10.2% | 2.6% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 9.8% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 16.5% | 30.1% | 29.2% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 10.0% | 23.1% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.