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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.10+5.64vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.87vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.39+9.88vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.92+2.60vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.79vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.09+3.99vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+1.77vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+0.09vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.81-1.82vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.32vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.48+1.79vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.96-1.27vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.83-1.80vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.08-7.18vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-2.98vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.13-5.51vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.12-3.17vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.29-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Dartmouth College2.109.2%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University2.1011.6%1st Place
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12.88University of Michigan0.392.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University1.929.2%1st Place
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7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.2%1st Place
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9.99University of Hawaii1.094.2%1st Place
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8.77Jacksonville University-1.384.9%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.5%1st Place
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7.18College of Charleston1.819.6%1st Place
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10.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Vermont0.481.9%1st Place
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10.73George Washington University0.963.6%1st Place
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11.2Connecticut College0.833.2%1st Place
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6.82Stanford University2.0810.0%1st Place
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12.02University of California at Santa Barbara0.571.9%1st Place
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10.49Fordham University1.134.5%1st Place
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13.83University of Rhode Island0.121.3%1st Place
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8.96Georgetown University1.295.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 17.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Carew | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Emily Allen | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 16.2% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| harriet jessup | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 26.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.