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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.58+6.48vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.90+5.36vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.07+4.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.13vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73+1.77vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.37+6.48vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.09+2.97vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.75+3.19vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.55-4.41vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.44-0.45vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.77-4.18vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.24+1.20vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.44-3.00vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.55-1.93vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-6.02vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-6.19vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.31-4.32vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.25-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Boston College1.587.8%1st Place
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7.36Cornell University1.907.1%1st Place
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7.35Bowdoin College2.077.0%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.4%1st Place
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6.77Tulane University1.739.6%1st Place
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12.48Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
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9.97North Carolina State University1.094.0%1st Place
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11.19Roger Williams University0.752.5%1st Place
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4.59Yale University2.5517.4%1st Place
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9.55University of South Florida1.445.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Pennsylvania1.779.0%1st Place
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13.2University of California at Los Angeles0.241.6%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University1.443.4%1st Place
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12.07Northwestern University0.552.2%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.1%1st Place
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9.81Old Dominion University0.953.4%1st Place
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12.68Northeastern University0.311.5%1st Place
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14.56SUNY Maritime College-0.250.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lilly Myers | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.4% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 17.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.0% |
| Emma Snead | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.4% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.