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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+5.99vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+5.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.20vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.47+3.74vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+2.76vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.16+3.18vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84+3.49vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.74+2.74vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.78+1.75vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.44-1.82vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.57-3.44vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-1.10vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-2.18vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.27-5.61vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.29-2.41vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.27-7.29vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.52-1.75vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.75-7.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.07Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.74Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.18Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.49Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.74Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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10.75Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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8.18Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.56Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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10.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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12.59Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.71Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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15.25Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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10.67Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Connor Needham | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 4.6% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 3.7% |
| Colin MURPHY | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Max Nickbarg | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Ford | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Michael Booker | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 47.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.