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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+5.85vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+4.55vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+3.08vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.39+8.97vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+5.50vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+2.04vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+0.72vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.96+2.83vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.13+1.39vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.92-3.65vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.83+0.06vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.38-3.31vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.29-3.97vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.09-3.69vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-2.12vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.81-8.86vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-5.26vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.12-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Stanford University2.089.2%1st Place
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6.55Dartmouth College2.1010.2%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University2.1011.3%1st Place
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12.97University of Michigan0.392.1%1st Place
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10.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.6%1st Place
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8.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.5%1st Place
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.2%1st Place
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10.83George Washington University0.963.4%1st Place
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10.39Fordham University1.133.6%1st Place
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6.35Brown University1.928.6%1st Place
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11.06Connecticut College0.832.6%1st Place
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8.69Jacksonville University-1.386.2%1st Place
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9.03Georgetown University1.295.1%1st Place
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10.31University of Hawaii1.093.9%1st Place
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12.88University of Vermont0.482.0%1st Place
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7.14College of Charleston1.818.6%1st Place
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11.74University of California at Santa Barbara0.573.0%1st Place
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13.88University of Rhode Island0.121.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 18.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Emily Allen | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Carew | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 15.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| harriet jessup | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.