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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+6.27vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.64vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+3.20vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.58+3.42vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.44+4.66vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.44+3.59vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+2.00vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.90-0.59vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.55+2.86vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.37+2.40vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.73-4.05vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.95-2.15vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.75-1.75vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.77-7.33vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.09-4.86vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.31-3.22vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.24-3.58vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.25-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Bowdoin College2.078.6%1st Place
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4.64Yale University2.5516.4%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.0%1st Place
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7.42Boston College1.586.9%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University1.444.8%1st Place
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9.59University of South Florida1.443.8%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.1%1st Place
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7.41Cornell University1.907.8%1st Place
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11.86Northwestern University0.552.1%1st Place
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12.4Boston University0.372.1%1st Place
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6.95Tulane University1.737.5%1st Place
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9.85Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
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11.25Roger Williams University0.752.4%1st Place
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6.67University of Pennsylvania1.779.6%1st Place
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10.14North Carolina State University1.093.9%1st Place
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12.78Northeastern University0.311.8%1st Place
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13.42University of California at Los Angeles0.242.0%1st Place
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14.5SUNY Maritime College-0.251.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.4% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Emma Snead | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Lilly Myers | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 13.5% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 17.8% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.