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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+2.17vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo2.44+3.97vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.25+0.98vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+0.74vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.55+0.87vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.74-0.71vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77-1.87vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.71+0.06vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.28+0.20vs Predicted
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10Colgate University1.10-0.29vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.38+0.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy1.22-2.47vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester-0.35+0.02vs Predicted
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14University of Toronto-0.21-1.37vs Predicted
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16Hamilton College-0.01-3.74vs Predicted
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17University of Rochester-0.35-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.3%1st Place
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5.97University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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3.98Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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4.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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5.87Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.29SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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5.13Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.06Webb Institute1.710.0%1st Place
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9.2Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.71Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.45Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Rochester-0.350.0%1st Place
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12.63University of Toronto-0.210.0%1st Place
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12.26Hamilton College-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Rochester-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Padnos | 25.4% | 23.0% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 16.9% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Carr | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fast | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Chang | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 21.8% | 35.7% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Kozicz | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 23.8% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Acosta | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 20.7% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Chang | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 21.8% | 35.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.