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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+7.42vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.75vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.08+3.76vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.92+2.41vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.44vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+4.09vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.10-0.67vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.37+1.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-1.09vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.05+0.22vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.12+2.79vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.13+1.67vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.13-2.68vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.34-0.62vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.96-4.74vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.81-9.09vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-5.50vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.39-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42Jacksonville University-1.386.0%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University2.1011.7%1st Place
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6.76Stanford University2.088.1%1st Place
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6.41Brown University1.929.8%1st Place
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7.44St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.9%1st Place
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10.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.9%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College2.1010.1%1st Place
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9.1Georgetown University1.374.5%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.687.8%1st Place
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10.22University of Hawaii1.054.2%1st Place
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13.79University of Rhode Island0.121.8%1st Place
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13.67University of Vermont-0.131.6%1st Place
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10.32Fordham University1.133.4%1st Place
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13.38Connecticut College0.341.7%1st Place
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10.26George Washington University0.963.9%1st Place
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6.91College of Charleston1.818.9%1st Place
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11.5University of California at Santa Barbara0.572.9%1st Place
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12.74University of Michigan0.392.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.7% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Young | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 23.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 22.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 18.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| harriet jessup | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.