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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+6.21vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.58+5.64vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.67vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.90+3.53vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.44+4.36vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55-1.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+2.17vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.95+1.84vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.31+3.52vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.09+0.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-4.77vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.37+0.39vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.73-6.25vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.44-4.18vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.75-3.92vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.24-2.75vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.25-2.20vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.55-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Bowdoin College2.077.9%1st Place
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7.64Boston College1.586.8%1st Place
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6.67University of Pennsylvania1.778.8%1st Place
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7.53Cornell University1.908.3%1st Place
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9.36University of South Florida1.444.0%1st Place
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4.66Yale University2.5516.4%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.2%1st Place
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9.84Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
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12.52Northeastern University0.311.8%1st Place
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10.08North Carolina State University1.094.0%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.3%1st Place
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12.39Boston University0.372.5%1st Place
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6.75Tulane University1.738.9%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University1.444.3%1st Place
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11.08Roger Williams University0.753.1%1st Place
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13.25University of California at Los Angeles0.241.9%1st Place
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14.8SUNY Maritime College-0.250.9%1st Place
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11.99Northwestern University0.552.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Myers | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.3% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 34.9% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.