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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+7.62vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.92+4.37vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.08+3.78vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+2.81vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.37+3.89vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+1.93vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+3.23vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.10-1.50vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.10-3.00vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.96+0.37vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.12+2.41vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.05-1.72vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.13-2.82vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-6.41vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.34-1.72vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.13-2.51vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-5.54vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.39-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62Jacksonville University-1.386.7%1st Place
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6.37Brown University1.929.0%1st Place
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6.78Stanford University2.088.2%1st Place
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6.81College of Charleston1.818.8%1st Place
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8.89Georgetown University1.375.3%1st Place
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7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.2%1st Place
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10.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.7%1st Place
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6.5Dartmouth College2.1010.7%1st Place
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6.0Harvard University2.1012.3%1st Place
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10.37George Washington University0.963.2%1st Place
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13.41University of Rhode Island0.122.1%1st Place
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10.28University of Hawaii1.053.9%1st Place
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10.18Fordham University1.133.9%1st Place
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7.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.1%1st Place
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13.28Connecticut College0.342.4%1st Place
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13.49University of Vermont-0.131.7%1st Place
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11.46University of California at Santa Barbara0.572.5%1st Place
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12.8University of Michigan0.392.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Young | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Sadie Thomas | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 21.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 19.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 21.9% |
| harriet jessup | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.